On the 12th of December 2016 the Syrian
Arab Army has advanced into the bulk of the former areas held by rebels and
several offspring groups of the Al Nusra Front in the Eastern part of the city.
Up to the last reports, there is a remaining enclave South-east of Aleppo.
Still the smell of the final recovery of Syria’s second city and economic hub
was being felt since yesterday, when local residents celebrated the retake of
the city from the rebel forces.
Only weeks ago the Syrian regime controlled
around 85% of the urban area. An ever advancing movement enabled the army to
take district by district off the insurrectionists. Joined by allies such as
the Syrian Kurds, the Hezbollah, and the Russians along them, the regime has
recovered the whole metropolitan area, except of one remaining enclave of armed
branches that did not follow the general withdrawal of their brothers in arms,
all willing to draw back to the Idlib province under their control still.
The all so long awaited victory might have
fallen short in the media, as simultaneously to that, the ancient city of
Palmyra, fortress of the desert retaken last year, fell back to the Islamic
State along some airbases in the area that had been secured in the past and
taken in a very costly manner and with a lot of Russian military support. Now
back under their control, the frontline has again shifted in the central area
of the country.
Firstly there are generally speaking
improvements in the city of Damascus, and its outskirts, which have been
retaking some enclaves either by force or by an agreement of withdrawal. As
such the major East Ghouta area has lost some territory to the government. It looks
as if the security has seen important improvements in those regards.
A defeat and a victory, or the other way
around sure gives a mixed result at the end of the day. Still the psychological
impact of the surrender of the main city under insurgent control has had its
share. The Idlib province and the areas close to the Syrian-Turkish border
taken from the IS are there to stay, unless the army and its allies undertake a
military enterprise starting east from Aleppo. The further they could approach
the governmental held enclave of Fouad, the sooner the remaining northern bulk of
rebel held territory could see heavy losses coming soon.
Nevertheless the battle is far from over,
especially if you consider how a gain can be undone in matter of days or hours.
Whence the IS continues its retreat in part of its Iraqi held territory in and
around Mosul, many fighters are being shifted to the areas around Palmyra in a fashion, which evidently took the Syrians by surprise. Thus the
retake might give more headlines for Damascus and Moscow, which now
have been overshadowed by its recent fall.
While the UN Security Council overall seems
to be quite unhappy for the success of Bashar Al-Assad, as it could be read by
the numerous times that Russia and China have vetoed the resolutions in recent
days and weeks, unsuccessfully urging for a truce in the Syrian city. Otherwise
they always emphasized the humanitarian crisis, etc. in order to call into question
the liberation itself. It looks as if a defeat of a “moderate rebel” always
will be put into that light, while the battle of Mosul clearly is put forward
without the slightest concern for the civilian or armed population among them.
As the veto power of the Security Council today favours the Russian and Syrian
side, the Western media have saturated the web with the view of the people
trapped inside the war. There were allegations about massacres made by the
Syrian Army, lacking any proof attached, and even the alleged executions of
civilians. All these punchlines are solely there to distract of the obvious
superiority of the Syrian army over the Western puppets eager to topple the evil dictator of Bashar Al-Assad.
Their failure comes short to the
expectations made by their sponsors, one of which are the US-Americans. The new
president-elect has clearly stated his wish to cease the supplies to these
rebels despite that the Congress has been pushing a bill contemplating the further
arms supplies and money to the insurgents on behalf of the US. This outgoing
Democratic administration will do what remains within their reach to help those
trapped inside this war. Let’s see
how Trump and his Secretary of State nominee will think about this and other issues
pending in January 2017.
The current conditions, in favour of the
Moscow-Damascus axis are in the verge of reversing the trend and give the
government the advantage it had been looking for. Then also the Russian ally
has been pushing to maintain their presence in the Mediterranean Sea and with
airbases in the coastal area. If the Western powers manage to rearm and the local
forces regroup again in their frontlines, it could be again a long time before anyone
can call any advance, may it be with the Islamic State or the motley-crew-like
groups operating on the ground.
For now the major victory of Syria has been
accomplished: the retake of the city of Aleppo and its outskirts. Now comes to
see if the remaining areas are likely to fall too, or how long will it take to
the Syrian forces to completely regain the sovereignty and territorial integrity
that any country wishes to have.